HISTORY the historical perspective and simulation computer

 

 

HISTORY OF MODELLING
AND SIMULATION

According to the historical perspective and simulation computer
simulation dated back as far as world war II. Mathematicians Joh Von Neuman and
Stanishlaw Ulam were faced with the problem of how neutrons behave. This problem
was much complicated to analyze and experiment expensive to perform. This gave
birth to Roulette wheel technique proposed by the mathematicians. The
information identified with occasion’s event were known and probability of
independent events were consolidated and analyzed well ordered to obtain the
yields of the entire sequence. This procedure moved toward becoming
accomplishment on neutron issue and discovered more applications in industry
and business. . In the time of post war world the field of computing was categorized
into two divisions namely analog and digital. These analog computers were
suited for problems of differential equations.

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In the late 1940’s and early 1950’s designed commercial analog
and digital computers were available on numerous organizations. Technicians of
these organizations had responsibilities to figure how to use and apply these
computers to the daily problems. John Mc Lead and some few engineers came
together to exchange and share ideas and experiences. In 1950’s computer
simulation was not useful as computer simulation took longer yield results and
also the results were much ambiguous. This was exhibited by an attempt to model
the field information for peak periods especially for phone frameworks. The system
didn’t change in accordance with the hypothesis of queuing which was utilized.

 

Likewise the strategy of discrete event computer simulation was
utilized. An IBM 650, assembly language and mathematician group, a system of
engineering specialists and a software engineer were the main instruments
accessible for the approach. . In the 1960’s computer systems were batch
systems in which data is put to the computer in batch via punched cards. In 1961
October IBM introduced Gordon simulator. In 1961 December Geoffrey Gorden posed
his paper on a General Purpose Systems simulator (GPSS) and this was the new
tool for designing the system for the FAA to distribute information on weather
to the whole aviation.

The IBM offered the hardware and the software. This team was
successful in constructing the model, simulating the problem and obtaining
answers which led to a tool for systems designers being available. Due to
achievement of this tool models were built and simulation activities were
established too. Hardly few teams were established at Boeing, Martin Marietta,
Air Force Logistics command and so forth. Likewise producers of PCs were IBM,
Control Data National cash Register and UNIVAC. In 1962 Bernard Hausne and Herbert
Kair from Rand Corporation Harry Markowitz created SIMSCRIPT to simulate their
inventory issues while in England Control and Simulation Language was produced
by J.Buxton and J.Laski. . Then an early version of SIMULA emerged by O.Dahl
and K.Nyguard. Also J.Mc Neley developed a symbolic language for General
Purpose System Simulation.

In 1965 there was a conference at the International
Federation for information processing in which languages and applications for
were discussed. This conference paved a way to another conference in 1966 March
at the University of Pennsylvania in which the recognition for demand of
another conference on the uses of simulation was emphasized. A team containing
staffs of SHARE, Joint Users gathering of ACM, Computer and Systems science and
Cybernetics Groups of IEEE was built up. This gathering held a workshop in
November 1967 on simulation application using the General Purpose Simulation
System. In 1968 December another conference followed which addressed more
aspects of Discrete Event simulation. In 1970 the forth meeting was held and
the primary PSS instructional exercise by Tom Schriber was talked about. At
that point the fifth gathering followed in 1971 which was titled WINTER
SIMULATION CONFERENCE. In 1976 tutorial based on SIMSCRIPT by Ed Russell was
published. The conference conducted in 1977 included agricultural and military
systems sessions. In 1978 at Miami a sign of the arising of the simulation
field was discussed by the panel on simulation failures and success and
simulation management. However the quantity of computerized systems raised in
1970’s and early 1980’s. Many simulation software were much into material
requirement planning.

In 1983 Prisker and partners created SLAMII which made
simulation software a capable apparatus. This SLIMII was used in IBM PC and
provided various modelling approaches.

In the late 1980’s a new animation and simulation software
by systems modelling called SIMANIV and CINEMAIV developed, then in 1994
simulation language for modelling manufacturing systems developed and back in
1990’s EMS software version of GPSS/PC developed too. Models were utilized to
plan the work flow and build plants. Then Microsoft version software for Windows
95 developed and stood out in 1998. This software offers automatic programmed
gathering of information, optimization and windows interface. (Anon., n.d.)

IMPORTANCE OF
MODELLING AND SIMULATION

Modelling and simulation is very important in all engineering
processes because the system behavior as described by experiments may sometimes
not be viable due to the following reasons:

·        
Inaccessible outputs  and inputs to the system

·        
Experiments maybe  excessively hazardous

·        
Experimentation expenses might be too high and
as such in modelling and simulation models are used to test a system without
having to construct real system to check if the system can be of successes or
not. As thus it eliminate high cost of trial and error.

·        
 The
system’s time constants  may not be
perfect with human measurements

·        
The behavior of experiments might  be unclear due to disturbances

·        
Also the importance of modelling and simulation
is that a system can be investigated in great detail as model of a system can
be zoomed in/out or rotated and can also predict what might happen to a system
in the future as accurate models allows us to go forward in virtual time to see
what the system will be doing in future.

APPLICATIONS OF MODELLING AND SIMULATION

Training Pilots: Learner pilots invest more time of their study in
flight simulators programs before they can fly real airplanes. This flight
simulators programs act the same as real air planes. This models equip trainee
pilots with any exceedingly reasonable flying circumstances, for example,
engine failures, storms etc. However this flight simulators give pilots all the
fundamental experience to fly real airplanes.

Manufacturing of safe cars: Modelling and simulation is utilized to
manufacture models of cars that can be simulated to test how safe the design of
the car is in a crash. In this test a virtual car is crushed again and again
and the impacts of the pound is then investigated making the design of the car
to be changed very easily  until the
point it is safe as possible.

Weather Forecasting: The weather models are simulated to anticipate
storms, wind patterns and temperature for the entire planet. This weather
forecasters models quick forward into the future to perceive what the weather
will be tomorrow ,next week and one month from now.

Bridge design testing: Computer models of bridges are simulated to
test if bridges being designed can have the capacity to survive extraordinary
climate conditions and on the off chance that they cannot survive the design is
modified until the point when that bridge can withstand every single climate
condition.